Early Warning of Harmful Algal Bloom Risk Using Satellite Ocean Color and Lagrangian Particle Trajectories

Lin, J, Miller, PI, Jonsson, B and Bedington, M 2021 Early Warning of Harmful Algal Bloom Risk Using Satellite Ocean Color and Lagrangian Particle Trajectories. Frontiers in Marine Science, 8. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.736262

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.736262


Combining Lagrangian trajectories and satellite observations provides a novel basis for monitoring changes in water properties with high temporal and spatial resolution. In this study, a prediction scheme was developed for synthesizing satellite observations and Lagrangian model data for better interpretation of harmful algal bloom (HAB) risk. Thealgorithm can not only predict variations in chlorophyll-a concentration but also changes in spectral properties of the water, which are important for discrimination of different algal species from satellite ocean color. The prediction scheme was applied to regions along the coast of England to verify its applicability. It was shown that the Lagrangian methodology can significantly improve the coverage of satellite products, and the unique animations are effective for interpretation of the development of HABs. A comparison between chlorophyll-a predictions and satellite observations further demonstrated the effectiveness of this approach: r2 = 0.81 and a low mean absolute percentage error of 36.9%. Although uncertainties from modelling and the methodology affect the accuracy of predictions, this approach offers a powerful tool for monitoring the marine ecosystem and for supporting the aquaculture industry with improved early warning of potential HABs.

Item Type: Publication - Article
Additional Keywords: early warning, harmful algal bloom, remote sensing, Lagrangian, particle tracking
Divisions: Plymouth Marine Laboratory > Science Areas > Earth Observation Science and Applications
Depositing User: S Hawkins
Date made live: 18 Nov 2021 16:17
Last Modified: 18 Nov 2021 16:17
URI: https://plymsea.ac.uk/id/eprint/9464

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